Cybercrime is big business in Asia, and AI could be about to make things worse – Fortune

Cybercrime is big business in Asia, and AI could be about to make things worse – Fortune

 

Report on Cybercrime in Southeast Asia and its Implications for Sustainable Development Goals

Executive Summary

Southeast Asia has emerged as a global hub for sophisticated cybercrime operations that are intrinsically linked to human trafficking. These activities represent a significant threat to the achievement of several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly those concerning decent work, justice, and secure innovation. This report analyzes the scale of the problem, its underlying causes, and emerging technological risks, framing the issue within the context of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

Direct Challenges to Sustainable Development

Violation of SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

The operational model of cyber scam centers in the region constitutes a severe violation of SDG 8. Criminal syndicates engage in large-scale human trafficking, forcing individuals to work in scam compounds. This practice fundamentally undermines the principles of decent work and productive employment.

  • Forced Labour: Trafficked individuals are compelled to perpetrate scams, representing a modern form of slavery that directly contravenes Target 8.7, which calls for immediate measures to eradicate forced labour and human trafficking.
  • Economic Disruption: The illicit industry has a tangible negative impact on legitimate economic sectors. For example, Thailand has reported a decline in tourism following incidents related to scam compounds, hindering progress towards Target 8.9, which aims to promote sustainable tourism.
  • Illicit Financial Flows: A UN estimate places global financial losses from these schemes at $37 billion, diverting capital from legitimate economic activities and undermining economic stability.

Erosion of SDG 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

The proliferation of these criminal enterprises highlights significant weaknesses in governance and the rule of law, directly challenging the objectives of SDG 16.

  1. Transnational Organized Crime: The industrial scale of “pig butchering” operations demonstrates the power of transnational criminal syndicates, which undermines peace and security. This directly opposes Target 16.4, which aims to significantly reduce illicit financial and arms flows and combat all forms of organized crime.
  2. Institutional Response: While nations like Singapore are enacting new laws to freeze assets and combat scams, the cross-border nature of the crime necessitates stronger international cooperation and institutional capacity, as called for in Target 16.A.
  3. State-Level Involvement: Allegations of nation-states leveraging cybercrime for financial gain and intelligence gathering further erode trust in institutions and international norms.

The Role of Technology and Emerging Risks

Misappropriation of Innovation (SDG 9)

The crisis is fueled by the misuse of modern technology, turning tools of progress into instruments of crime, which conflicts with the goal of building resilient and sustainable infrastructure and fostering inclusive innovation (SDG 9).

  • Mobile-First Markets: The region’s high mobile penetration and use of messaging platforms like WhatsApp, Line, and WeChat provide criminals with direct, unregulated access to victims.
  • Artificial Intelligence: AI is exploited to overcome linguistic barriers, enabling scammers to operate more effectively across diverse markets. This represents a negative application of technology that runs counter to the spirit of using innovation for sustainable development.

New Threats: ‘Shadow AI’ and Identity Security

Emerging AI-related risks pose further challenges to corporate governance and individual security, with implications for economic stability (SDG 8) and personal safety (SDG 16).

  • Information Leakage: The use of “shadow AI”—employees using personal AI accounts for work tasks—creates significant risk of confidential data leakage, potentially compromising corporate and economic security.
  • Identity Vulnerability: As AI agents become more autonomous, the lines between personal and corporate digital identities blur. The potential for an individual’s identity to be stolen and exploited is magnified, increasing the “blast radius” of cybercrime and undermining personal security, a key component of peaceful and inclusive societies (SDG 16).

1. Which SDGs are addressed or connected to the issues highlighted in the article?

The article highlights several interconnected issues, primarily cybercrime, human trafficking, and their economic and technological dimensions. These issues are directly relevant to the following Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs):

  • SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth – The article’s focus on human trafficking, forced labor in scam centers, and the negative impact on tourism-related economies connects directly to this goal.
  • SDG 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions – The discussion of transnational organized crime, illicit financial flows, human trafficking, and the need for legal and institutional responses (like new laws) places this goal at the core of the analysis.
  • SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure – The article explains how technological advancements, such as mobile-first platforms and AI, are being exploited to facilitate these crimes, which relates to the goal of managing and harnessing technology.

2. What specific targets under those SDGs can be identified based on the article’s content?

Based on the issues discussed, several specific targets within the identified SDGs are relevant:

SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

  • Target 8.7: Take immediate and effective measures to eradicate forced labour, end modern slavery and human trafficking.
    • Explanation: The article explicitly states that Southeast Asia has become an epicenter of “high-tech fraud meets human trafficking,” with “trafficked workers forced to con victims.” This directly addresses the core components of Target 8.7.
  • Target 8.9: By 2030, devise and implement policies to promote sustainable tourism that creates jobs and promotes local culture and products.
    • Explanation: The article provides a negative example related to this target, noting that “Thailand has reported a drop in Chinese visitors this year” due to safety concerns linked to the scam operations. This demonstrates a direct threat to sustainable tourism.

SDG 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

  • Target 16.2: End abuse, exploitation, trafficking and all forms of violence against and torture of children.
    • Explanation: While the article doesn’t specify the age of the victims, the mention of “human trafficking” and kidnapping (a “Chinese actor was kidnapped”) falls under the broader scope of ending exploitation and trafficking.
  • Target 16.3: Promote the rule of law at the national and international levels and ensure equal access to justice for all.
    • Explanation: The article highlights efforts and challenges related to the rule of law. It mentions that “Singapore just passed an anti-scam law that allows law enforcement to freeze the bank accounts of scam victims,” which is a direct action to promote the rule of law.
  • Target 16.4: By 2030, significantly reduce illicit financial and arms flows, strengthen the recovery and return of stolen assets and combat all forms of organized crime.
    • Explanation: This target is central to the article. The “industrial-scale ‘pig butchering’ operations” run by “criminal syndicates” are a form of organized crime. The “UN estimate pegs global losses from these schemes at $37 billion,” which represents a massive illicit financial flow.

SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure

  • Target 9.c: Significantly increase access to information and communications technology and strive to provide universal and affordable access to the Internet in least developed countries.
    • Explanation: The article discusses the misuse of this technology. It notes that the region is a “mobile-first market” and that platforms like “WhatsApp, Line and WeChat help facilitate a direct connection between the scammer and the victim.” Furthermore, “AI is also helping scammers overcome Asia’s linguistic diversity,” showing how innovation is being exploited for criminal purposes, posing a challenge to the positive aims of this target.

3. Are there any indicators mentioned or implied in the article that can be used to measure progress towards the identified targets?

The article mentions or implies several quantitative and qualitative indicators that can be used to measure the scale of the problem and any progress towards the targets.

Indicators for SDG 8 & 16 (Trafficking & Crime)

  • Number of victims of human trafficking: While no precise number is given, the description of “industrial-scale ‘pig butchering’ operations—scam centers staffed by trafficked workers” implies that the number of victims is a key metric for tracking the problem (relevant to Indicator 16.2.2).
  • Existence of national legislation against trafficking and cybercrime: The article provides a direct example of this indicator by stating that “Singapore just passed an anti-scam law.” Tracking the adoption of similar laws in other affected countries would measure progress toward Target 16.3.

Indicators for SDG 16 (Illicit Financial Flows)

  • Total value of illicit financial flows: The article provides a specific data point for this indicator (16.4.1). It states, “one UN estimate pegs global losses from these schemes at $37 billion.” This figure serves as a baseline to measure whether efforts to combat these scams are reducing the illicit financial flows.

Indicators for SDG 8 (Sustainable Tourism)

  • Number of international tourist arrivals: This is an implied indicator. The article notes that “Thailand has reported a drop in Chinese visitors this year,” which directly reflects a negative trend in tourist arrivals, a key measure for the health of the tourism sector (relevant to Target 8.9).

4. Table of SDGs, Targets, and Indicators

SDGs Targets Indicators Identified in the Article
SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth 8.7: Eradicate forced labour, end modern slavery and human trafficking.

8.9: Promote sustainable tourism.

Prevalence of trafficked workers: The article describes “scam centers staffed by trafficked workers forced to con victims.”

Change in tourist arrivals: The article notes a “drop in Chinese visitors” to Thailand due to safety concerns.

SDG 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions 16.2: End abuse, exploitation, trafficking.

16.3: Promote the rule of law.

16.4: Significantly reduce illicit financial flows and combat all forms of organized crime.

Number of trafficking victims: Implied by the “industrial-scale” operations involving trafficked workers.

Adoption of relevant legislation: Mention of “Singapore just passed an anti-scam law.”

Value of illicit financial flows: A UN estimate of “$37 billion” in global losses from these schemes is cited.

SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure 9.c: Increase access to information and communications technology. Misuse of technology platforms: The article identifies “WhatsApp, Line and WeChat” and “AI” as tools being exploited by scammers, indicating a negative consequence of increased access.

Source: fortune.com