John Michael Riley Explains Growing conditions for corn in Iowa and how they are impacting prices in Oklahoma – Oklahoma Farm Report

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Aug 7, 2025 - 22:30
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John Michael Riley Explains Growing conditions for corn in Iowa and how they are impacting prices in Oklahoma – Oklahoma Farm Report

 

Agricultural Market Report: Economic Pressures and Sustainable Development Implications

Executive Summary

Current agricultural markets are experiencing significant downward price pressure, impacting key commodities and presenting challenges to the economic viability of farming operations. This report analyzes these market dynamics through the lens of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), focusing on the interplay between production levels, economic stability, and environmental factors. The findings highlight threats to SDG 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth) for producers, while also underscoring the importance of production systems in achieving SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) and the need for climate-resilient practices in line with SDG 13 (Climate Action).

Analysis of Market Conditions and Commodity Pricing

Primary Market Drivers and Economic Impact (SDG 8)

An analysis by agricultural economist John Michael Riley indicates a bearish sentiment across major agricultural markets. The primary factors contributing to this trend are:

  • High Supply Projections: Private trading firms forecast high yields for corn and soybeans across the United States, leading to an oversupply scenario that is depressing prices. This directly challenges the economic sustainability of farming enterprises and the livelihoods of producers, a core concern of SDG 8.
  • Currency Strength: A stronger U.S. dollar is negatively affecting the cotton market by increasing the cost of American exports for international buyers, thereby reducing demand and pressuring prices downward.

Production Outlook: National vs. Regional Disparities

National Crop Outlook and Food Security (SDG 2)

The national forecast for a large corn and soybean harvest contributes positively to the goal of ensuring food availability, a key target of SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). However, the resulting low prices create an economic paradox, threatening the very producers responsible for this supply.

Regional Challenges and Climate Resilience (SDG 13 & SDG 12)

Despite the positive national outlook, regional factors introduce uncertainty and highlight the impact of climate variability, a central theme of SDG 13 (Climate Action).

  1. Western Corn Belt Concerns: Iowa has experienced significant rainfall during a critical growth phase for corn. This weather event serves as a potential risk to yield outcomes, demonstrating the vulnerability of production systems to climate-related disruptions.
  2. Oklahoma Crop Status: The state’s agricultural production reflects localized challenges impacting responsible production patterns (SDG 12).
    • The corn crop is progressing well after initial delays from early-season rains.
    • The soybean crop is significantly behind schedule. Delays in the wheat harvest postponed the planting of double-crop soybeans, and heavy rains have adversely affected crop ratings.

These regional disparities underscore the necessity for adaptive and resilient farm management strategies to navigate market volatility and unpredictable weather patterns, ensuring progress toward sustainable production.

Pathways to Sustainable Agriculture: Management and Extension Support

The Role of Strategic Farm Management

Effective farm management is identified as a critical tool for navigating current market challenges. Strategic decision-making is essential for maintaining profitability and ensuring the long-term sustainability of agricultural operations, thereby supporting SDG 1 (No Poverty) and SDG 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth) in rural communities.

Extension Services Supporting Sustainable Practices

Oklahoma State University (OSU) Extension provides critical information and guidance to producers, promoting practices that align with multiple SDGs.

  • Efficient Livestock Management (SDG 12): Guidance on creep feeding helps producers determine cost-effective strategies to optimize resource use and enhance the economic efficiency of their beef cattle operations.
  • Integrated Pest Management (SDG 15): Alerts regarding fall armyworms encourage scouting and proactive management, which is crucial for protecting forage crops while minimizing environmental impact, thus protecting life on land.
  • Climate Adaptation Data (SDG 13): The Mesonet weather report provides vital data on heat trends and climate forecasts, empowering producers to make informed decisions and adapt their practices to changing climatic conditions.
  • Enhancing Production Efficiency (SDG 12): Analysis of expected beef yield from livestock provides valuable information for improving the efficiency and transparency of the food value chain.

SDGs Addressed in the Article

  • SDG 2: Zero Hunger
  • SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth
  • SDG 12: Responsible Consumption and Production
  • SDG 13: Climate Action

Specific SDG Targets Identified

  1. SDG 2: Zero Hunger

    • Target 2.3: By 2030, double the agricultural productivity and incomes of small-scale food producers… The article directly addresses this by discussing the economic pressures on farmers due to “downward price movement” for corn, soybeans, and cotton. It highlights the importance of “good farm management” and cost-effective strategies like “creep feeding” to navigate market challenges and maintain profitability, which is essential for farmers’ incomes.
    • Target 2.4: By 2030, ensure sustainable food production systems and implement resilient agricultural practices… The article discusses challenges to production systems, such as “heavy early-season rains” negatively impacting crop ratings in Oklahoma and the presence of pests like “fall armyworms.” This points to the need for resilient practices to ensure stable food production despite environmental pressures.

  2. SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

    • Target 8.2: Achieve higher levels of economic productivity through … technological upgrading and innovation… The article emphasizes the need for effective farm management to cope with low prices. The mention of specific agricultural advice from OSU Extension specialists on topics like “creep feeding” and scouting for pests implies a focus on applying knowledge and improved techniques to enhance operational efficiency and economic viability for farmers.

  3. SDG 12: Responsible Consumption and Production

    • Target 12.2: By 2030, achieve the sustainable management and efficient use of natural resources. The article discusses production patterns, such as planting “double-crop soybeans” after the wheat harvest, which is a method of intensifying land use. It also highlights the management of production challenges like pests (“fall armyworms”) and adverse weather, which are key components of sustainable agricultural production.

  4. SDG 13: Climate Action

    • Target 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries. The article provides clear examples of climate-related hazards impacting agriculture. These include “a significant amount of rain” in Iowa, “heavy early-season rains” in Oklahoma that delayed planting, and a Mesonet report showing “heat ramped up” with a forecast for a “warmer and drier August.” These events directly affect crop yields and schedules, demonstrating the agricultural sector’s vulnerability and need for adaptation.

Indicators for Measuring Progress

  1. SDG 2: Zero Hunger

    • Indicator for Target 2.3 (Productivity and Income): The article implies several indicators. Crop yield (“high yields for these crops,” “national crop size is expected to be quite large”) is a direct measure of productivity. Market prices (“downward price movement,” “low prices”) are a direct component for calculating farmer income.
    • Indicator for Target 2.4 (Sustainable Production): “Crop ratings” for soybeans in Oklahoma are mentioned as being negatively impacted by rain, serving as a direct indicator of the health and resilience of the agricultural system. The need to scout for “fall armyworms” implies that the presence or absence of pests and the implementation of control measures are indicators of sustainable practices.

  2. SDG 13: Climate Action

    • Indicator for Target 13.1 (Resilience to Climate Hazards): The article mentions specific meteorological data and events that serve as indicators of climate-related hazards. These include rainfall amounts (“significant amount of rain,” “heavy early-season rains”), temperature changes (“heat ramped up”), and climate forecasts (“warmer and drier August”). The impact of these hazards is measured by indicators such as “delayed planting” of crops.

Summary of SDGs, Targets, and Indicators

SDGs Targets Indicators
SDG 2: Zero Hunger 2.3: Double agricultural productivity and incomes of small-scale food producers.

2.4: Ensure sustainable food production systems and implement resilient agricultural practices.

– Crop yields (e.g., “high yields for…corn and soybeans”).
– Market prices for agricultural goods (e.g., “downward price movement”).
– “Crop ratings” as a measure of crop health.
– Presence of pests (e.g., “fall armyworms”).
SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth 8.2: Achieve higher levels of economic productivity through technological upgrading and innovation. – Adoption of cost-effective management strategies (e.g., “creep feeding”).
SDG 12: Responsible Consumption and Production 12.2: Achieve the sustainable management and efficient use of natural resources. – Implementation of land use strategies (e.g., “double-crop soybeans”).
SDG 13: Climate Action 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards. – Occurrence of extreme weather events (e.g., “heavy early-season rains,” “heat ramped up”).
– Climate forecasts (e.g., “warmer and drier August”).
– Impact on farming operations (e.g., “delayed the planting”).

Source: oklahomafarmreport.com