Shrinking Antarctic sea ice is warming the ocean faster than expected – New Scientist

Shrinking Antarctic sea ice is warming the ocean faster than expected – New Scientist

Report on the Impact of Antarctic Sea Ice Decline and Its Alignment with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Introduction

The Antarctic region is experiencing a significant decline in sea ice cover, with recent summers showing levels far below historical averages. This phenomenon has led to a doubling in iceberg calving from ice sheets and a notable increase in sea temperatures. These changes have profound implications for global climate regulation and biodiversity, directly impacting several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), including SDG 13 (Climate Action), SDG 14 (Life Below Water), and SDG 15 (Life on Land).

Extent of Sea Ice Decline

Over the past decade, sea ice extent at both poles has decreased sharply. In 2023, Antarctic winter sea ice was recorded at 1.55 million square kilometres below the expected average extent, equivalent to the disappearance of an area nearly 6.5 times the size of the United Kingdom. The years 2024 and 2025 are projected to follow similarly low trends.

Research Findings on Ocean Temperature and Iceberg Calving

  1. Temperature Rise in Southern Ocean: Research led by Edward Doddridge from the University of Tasmania found that summers with low sea ice since 2016 resulted in a 0.3°C increase in average Southern Ocean temperatures between latitudes 65° and 80° south.
  2. Persistent Ocean Warming: The additional heat from low sea ice years persists for at least three years, causing a compounding warming effect that exacerbates climate impacts in the region.
  3. Increased Iceberg Calving: The loss of sea ice removes the protective buffer that dampens ocean swells, leading to accelerated breakup of coastal ice sheets. For every 100,000 square kilometres reduction in sea ice, six additional icebergs larger than 1 square kilometre calve from the ice sheets, doubling iceberg numbers in low sea ice years.

Ecological and Scientific Implications

  • Impact on Wildlife: Species dependent on sea ice platforms, such as emperor penguins (Aptenodytes forsteri) and crabeater seals (Lobodon carcinophagus), face severe survival challenges due to habitat loss, threatening biodiversity (SDG 15).
  • Challenges for Antarctic Research: Sea ice plays a crucial role in enabling safe resupply of research stations. Its decline complicates scientific operations essential for monitoring climate change and ecosystem health (SDG 13).

Broader Environmental and SDG Implications

The ongoing loss of Antarctic sea ice has multifaceted impacts that resonate with global sustainable development efforts:

  • SDG 13 – Climate Action: The persistent warming of the Southern Ocean contributes to global climate change, emphasizing the urgent need for mitigation and adaptation strategies.
  • SDG 14 – Life Below Water: Changes in sea ice affect marine ecosystems and species, disrupting ecological balance and fisheries.
  • SDG 15 – Life on Land: The accelerated melting of ice sheets threatens terrestrial and coastal ecosystems, reducing biodiversity and ecosystem resilience.

Expert Perspectives

Nerilie Abram from the Australian National University highlights the extensive and long-lasting impacts of sea ice loss on Antarctic ecosystems, noting that extreme low sea ice years have enduring effects beyond immediate events. The cumulative consequences underscore the critical need for global climate action and environmental stewardship.

Conclusion

The drastic reduction in Antarctic sea ice presents a significant environmental crisis with far-reaching implications for climate regulation, biodiversity, and scientific research. Addressing these challenges aligns directly with the achievement of multiple Sustainable Development Goals, particularly those focused on climate action and ecosystem preservation. Coordinated international efforts are essential to mitigate these impacts and promote sustainable management of polar environments.

Figure

Antarctic sea ice cover in recent summers has been far below historical levels
Antarctic sea ice cover in recent summers has been far below historical levels. Credit: Nature Picture Library / Alamy

1. Which SDGs are addressed or connected to the issues highlighted in the article?

  1. SDG 13: Climate Action – The article discusses the drastic reduction of Antarctic sea ice and the resulting increase in ocean temperatures, highlighting the impacts of climate change.
  2. SDG 14: Life Below Water – The article addresses the effects of sea ice loss on marine ecosystems, including species such as emperor penguins and crabeater seals that depend on sea ice for survival.
  3. SDG 15: Life on Land – The article touches on the impact of sea ice loss on Antarctic ice sheets and terrestrial ecosystems indirectly affected by these changes.

2. What specific targets under those SDGs can be identified based on the article’s content?

  1. SDG 13: Climate Action
    • Target 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries.
    • Target 13.3: Improve education, awareness-raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change mitigation, adaptation, impact reduction, and early warning.
  2. SDG 14: Life Below Water
    • Target 14.2: Sustainably manage and protect marine and coastal ecosystems to avoid significant adverse impacts, and take action for their restoration to achieve healthy and productive oceans.
    • Target 14.3: Minimize and address the impacts of ocean acidification, including through enhanced scientific cooperation at all levels.
  3. SDG 15: Life on Land
    • Target 15.1: Ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainable use of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.
    • Target 15.3: Combat desertification, restore degraded land and soil, including land affected by desertification, drought and floods, and strive to achieve a land degradation-neutral world.

3. Are there any indicators mentioned or implied in the article that can be used to measure progress towards the identified targets?

  1. Sea Ice Extent – The article provides data on the reduction of Antarctic sea ice extent, including a record 1.55 million square kilometres below the expected average in 2023. This is a direct indicator of climate change impact and ecosystem health.
  2. Sea Surface Temperature – The rise in average temperature in the Southern Ocean by 0.3°C during low sea ice summers is an indicator of ocean warming and climate change effects.
  3. Number and Size of Icebergs Calving – The increase in icebergs calving from ice sheets, with twice as many icebergs in low sea ice years, serves as an indicator of ice sheet stability and environmental change.
  4. Population and Health of Dependent Species – The impact on species such as emperor penguins and crabeater seals implies the need for indicators related to species population trends and habitat conditions.
  5. Duration of Ocean Warming Effects – The persistence of ocean warming for at least three years after a low sea ice year indicates long-term environmental changes that can be monitored.

4. Table: SDGs, Targets and Indicators

SDGs Targets Indicators
SDG 13: Climate Action
  • 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards
  • 13.3: Improve education and capacity on climate change mitigation and adaptation
  • Reduction in Antarctic sea ice extent (e.g., 1.55 million km² below average in 2023)
  • Increase in Southern Ocean average temperature (0.3°C rise during low sea ice summers)
  • Duration of ocean warming effects (persisting for at least three years)
SDG 14: Life Below Water
  • 14.2: Sustainably manage and protect marine and coastal ecosystems
  • 14.3: Minimize impacts of ocean acidification
  • Population trends of species dependent on sea ice (emperor penguins, crabeater seals)
  • Changes in marine ecosystem health linked to sea ice loss
SDG 15: Life on Land
  • 15.1: Conservation and restoration of terrestrial ecosystems
  • 15.3: Combat land degradation and restore degraded land
  • Number and size of icebergs calving from Antarctic ice sheets (doubling in low sea ice years)
  • Stability and extent of Antarctic ice sheets

Source: newscientist.com