What’s Behind The Oil And Gas Attitude Toward Electric Vehicles

What's Behind The Oil And Gas Attitude Toward Electric Vehicles  Forbes

What’s Behind The Oil And Gas Attitude Toward Electric Vehicles

What’s Behind The Oil And Gas Attitude Toward Electric Vehicles

Oil And Gas Components Used In EVs

New Mexico Oil and Gas Association (NMOGA) are expected to tout the benefits of oil and gas in a state that is ranked number 2 in oil production after Texas. NM produces about 1.6 million barrels per day (bopd), which provides about 35% of the state’s revenue. In a newsletter on April 11, 2024, entitled Driving Innovation: How Oil & Gas Fuels the EV Industry, NMOGA listed the oil and gas components used in construction of an EV. The following list is excerpted from the newsletter:

  • The production, installation, and maintenance of EV charging stations depend on materials and energy derived from oil and gas.
  • The heart of an electric vehicle, lithium-ion batteries, relies on electrolytes derived from petrochemicals.
  • The electrodes in lithium-ion batteries contain graphite and other materials derived from oil and gas.
  • Plastics and polymers derived from oil and gas are integral to interior and exterior panels in an EV.
  • The rubber used in tires is synthesized from petrochemicals.
  • Cooling systems and lubricants in electric motors and powertrains use oils derived from petroleum.
  • Hydraulic systems in EVs, such as power steering and braking, utilize fluids derived from petroleum.

EVs displace internal combustion engines and their gasoline/oil

A prediction can be made about the future of oil production based on President Biden’s goal regarding new sales of EVs by 2030. A simple zero-sum equation provides insights into the potential decline of oil and gas production in the U.S. by 2030.

President Biden’s goal is that new sales of EVs will be 50% of all sales by 2030. Let’s say 25% of all cars will be EVs by 2030, and these cars are not running on gasoline. A 25% decline in gasoline cars from today implies a 17% decline in consumption of oil in the U.S. by 2030. If supply follows demand, then a 17% decline in U.S. crude oil production would be expected by 2030—almost a fifth of oil production declining by 2030. This would be a sizable hit to oil production in the U.S.

There is a caveat: the potential demand in the U.S. may drop 17%, but crude oil sales abroad to places such as Southeast Asia might replace the demand and keep the supply up in the US.

Postscript: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has a new rule, as of March 2024, that lowers tailpipe emissions, and it means that new sales of EVs will be 67% of all sales by 2032. So this new rule anticipates the decline in crude oil production would be significantly more than 17% by 2032.

Life-Cycle Emissions From EVs And ICEs

These are whole-of-life GHG emissions that include production, usage, and disposal of a vehicle. The table compares emission amounts in tons of CO2 equivalent (tCO2e). Vehicle usage is assumed to be 16 years when traveling a distance of 150,000 miles. Numbers were taken from Polestar and Rivian’s Pathway Report.