‘Boiling frog’ effect makes people oblivious to threat of climate crisis, shows study – The Guardian

Report on Enhancing Climate Change Communication to Advance Sustainable Development Goals
Introduction: Public Perception and the Urgency of SDG 13
Recent survey data indicates a significant challenge in mobilizing public support for climate action. Despite an increase in extreme weather events such as floods and wildfires, public awareness of the threats posed by climate change has not grown proportionately. This phenomenon, often described as the “boiling frog effect,” suggests that gradual environmental changes go unnoticed as perceptions of normalcy shift. This inertia presents a direct obstacle to achieving the objectives of Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Climate Action), which calls for urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts.
Research into Effective Communication Strategies
A study conducted by researchers at Carnegie Mellon University explored methods to overcome this perceptual barrier. The research investigated whether presenting climate data in a binary format could more effectively communicate the reality and imminence of climate change.
Methodology
The experiment involved presenting climate data to test subjects in two different formats:
- One group was shown graphs illustrating gradual winter temperature changes in a fictional town.
- A second group was shown a chart indicating whether a fictional lake in the town froze or did not freeze each year.
Results
The findings, published in Nature, demonstrated a clear distinction in perception based on the data format:
- Participants who received the binary data (lake froze/did not freeze) consistently perceived climate change as a more real and imminent threat.
- The binary format provided a more vivid and dramatic impression of change, creating a distinct “before” and “after” scenario, even though it was based on the same underlying temperature data.
Implications for Achieving Sustainable Development Goals
The results of this study have significant implications for communication strategies aimed at advancing the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.
- SDG 13 (Climate Action): The research provides a powerful tool for communicators to overcome public apathy. By using clear, binary examples of climate impacts, campaigns can more effectively convey the urgency required to meet SDG 13 targets.
- SDG 4 (Quality Education): This study informs Target 4.7, which aims to ensure all learners acquire the knowledge and skills needed to promote sustainable development. Educational materials can incorporate binary data visualization to better illustrate the consequences of climate change for future generations.
- SDG 14 (Life Below Water) and SDG 15 (Life on Land): The disappearing lake ice is a potent binary indicator of impacts on freshwater ecosystems (SDG 15). This principle can be applied to other areas, such as showing coral reef survival (bleached vs. not bleached) to highlight threats to marine biodiversity (SDG 14).
- SDG 17 (Partnerships for the Goals): The research itself exemplifies the importance of academic partnerships in generating actionable insights. Disseminating these findings can help forge stronger partnerships between science, media, and policy-makers to drive collective action on the SDGs.
Conclusion
To effectively mobilize society towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals, particularly SDG 13, it is imperative to adopt more impactful communication methods. The study confirms that presenting the effects of climate change in simple, binary terms is a more effective strategy than showing gradual data trends. This approach should be integrated into future climate communication and education efforts to foster a greater sense of reality and urgency.
SDGs Addressed in the Article
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SDG 13: Climate Action
- The entire article is centered on climate change, its perception, and communication. It directly discusses the impacts of climate change, such as “extreme climate events, including floods, wildfires and hurricanes,” and the “disappearing ice” on lakes. The core subject is the challenge of raising public awareness to foster action against climate change.
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SDG 4: Quality Education
- The article explores the effectiveness of different methods for communicating scientific data to the public. The research from Carnegie Mellon University is fundamentally about education and awareness-raising, aiming to “drive more effective ways of communicating the impact of climate change.” This aligns with the goal of ensuring people acquire the knowledge needed to promote sustainable development.
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SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities
- The article mentions climate-related disasters like “floods, wildfires and hurricanes” that directly threaten the safety and resilience of human settlements. Making communities aware of these increasing threats is crucial for adaptation and building resilience, which is a key aspect of this SDG.
Specific SDG Targets Identified
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Target 13.3: Improve education, awareness-raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change mitigation, adaptation, impact reduction and early warning.
- This target is the central theme of the article. The text highlights a failure in current awareness-raising, noting that extreme weather has “not raised awareness of the threats posed by climate change.” The study presented is a direct attempt to find “more effective ways of communicating the impact of climate change” by using binary data to make the threat “more real and imminent.”
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Target 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries.
- The article explicitly mentions the “increasing number of extreme climate events, including floods, wildfires and hurricanes.” These are the climate-related hazards that this target aims to build resilience against. The need for public awareness, as discussed in the article, is a prerequisite for communities to support and engage in building adaptive capacity.
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Target 4.7: By 2030, ensure that all learners acquire the knowledge and skills needed to promote sustainable development…
- The research described in the article directly addresses how to better equip the general public (learners) with an understanding of climate change. The experiment comparing temperature graphs with binary data (lake freezing or not) is a study in educational methodology for sustainable development, aiming to overcome the “‘boiling frog effect'” which hinders public understanding and action.
Indicators for Measuring Progress
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Indicator for Public Awareness and Perception (Implied)
- The article implies the use of public perception as a key indicator. The study measured whether subjects saw climate change as “more real and imminent” based on the data format. The opening sentence refers to “surveys” that measure public “awareness of the threats,” indicating that the level of public concern and belief in the reality of climate change is a measurable indicator of progress towards Target 13.3.
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Indicator of Climate Change Effects (Implied)
- The article uses concrete, observable phenomena as indicators of climate change itself. These include the “increasing number of extreme climate events” and the binary state of whether a lake freezes or not (“The disappearing ice is more vivid and dramatic”). These serve as simple, black-and-white examples that can be tracked year over year to demonstrate the impact of climate change to the public.
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Indicator for Communication Effectiveness (Implied)
- The success of the experiment provides a metric for communication effectiveness. The article states that those shown the binary graphic “consistently saw climate change as more real and imminent.” This suggests that progress towards Target 4.7 and 13.3 can be measured by testing different communication strategies and quantifying their success in changing public perception and understanding.
Summary Table: SDGs, Targets, and Indicators
SDGs | Targets | Indicators (Mentioned or Implied in the Article) |
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SDG 13: Climate Action | 13.3: Improve education, awareness-raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change. | Level of public awareness and perception of climate change as “real and imminent,” as measured by surveys and experimental results. |
SDG 13: Climate Action | 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters. | The frequency and number of “extreme climate events, including floods, wildfires and hurricanes.” |
SDG 4: Quality Education | 4.7: Ensure that all learners acquire the knowledge and skills needed to promote sustainable development. | The effectiveness of communication methods (e.g., binary data vs. graphs) in improving public understanding of climate change. |
SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities | 11.5: Significantly reduce the number of deaths and people affected by disasters. | The occurrence of disasters such as “floods, wildfires and hurricanes” that impact communities. |
Source: theguardian.com