Fact check: Trump falsely claims US crime stats are only going up. Most went down last year, including massive drop in murder | CNN Politics
Fact check: Trump falsely claims US crime stats are only going up. Most went down last year, including massive drop in murder CNN
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and US Crime Statistics
Washington
CNN
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Introduction
- Former President Donald Trump falsely claimed on Tuesday that US crime statistics are “only” going up.
- In fact, most US crime numbers went down last year – and the decreases included one of the largest national declines in murder ever recorded.
Trump’s Speech and Crime Statistics
- Trump’s speech in Michigan focused on crime perpetrated by people who illegally entered the US.
- He exaggerated the extent of Venezuela’s improvement and falsely claimed that US crime is only increasing.
- However, crime data expert Jeff Asher states that murder and reported violent crime actually decreased in 2023.
- The decline in murder would be the single biggest one-year drop on record in US data dating back to 1960.
- Reported violent crime declined in every quadrant of the country, in cities of all sizes, and in rural communities.
Expert Analysis and Biden Presidency
- Political science professor Anna Harvey and director of the Public Safety Lab at New York University confirms that violent crime rose dramatically during the last year of the Trump presidency.
- However, violent crime has been falling during the Biden presidency.
Caveats and Exceptions
- Not all crimes are reported, and not every US community experienced declines in murder or violent crime in 2023.
- There was a significant increase in big-city auto thefts, fueled by a spike in thefts of certain car models.
Conclusion
- The available data suggests that the national rates of murder and overall violent crime were lower in 2023 than they were under Trump in 2020.
- Reported violent crime has fallen since 2020, including a large decline in murder.
- The reported violent crime rate in 2023 was likely at or below 2019’s level, while the national murder rate was slightly above 2019’s level but well below 2020’s level.
- Reported violent crime in the US has plummeted since the early 1990s, and the preliminary data suggests that the rate of reported violent crime in 2023 was either the lowest since the late 1960s or close to it.
SDGs, Targets, and Indicators
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SDG 16: Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions
- Target 16.1: Significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere
- Indicator 16.1.1: Number of victims of intentional homicide per 100,000 population, by sex and age
Analysis
The article discusses the false claim made by former President Donald Trump that US crime statistics are “only” going up. It highlights that most US crime numbers actually went down last year, including one of the largest national declines in murder ever recorded. Based on this information, we can identify SDG 16 (Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions) as being relevant to the issues discussed in the article.
Specifically, the article addresses Target 16.1 of SDG 16, which aims to significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere. The article mentions the decrease in murder rates as one of the largest national declines ever recorded, indicating progress towards this target.
The article also implies Indicator 16.1.1 of SDG 16, which measures the number of victims of intentional homicide per 100,000 population, by sex and age. Although the specific indicator is not mentioned in the article, the discussion of the decline in murder rates aligns with this indicator as a measure of progress towards reducing violence and related death rates.
Table: SDGs, Targets, and Indicators
SDGs | Targets | Indicators |
---|---|---|
SDG 16: Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions | Target 16.1: Significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere | Indicator 16.1.1: Number of victims of intentional homicide per 100,000 population, by sex and age |
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Source: cnn.com
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