Revisiting graduation from social assistance: samba style – World Bank Blogs

Nov 6, 2025 - 22:00
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Revisiting graduation from social assistance: samba style – World Bank Blogs

 

Analysis of Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program and its Contribution to Sustainable Development Goals

The Bolsa Família program, initiated in Brazil in 2003, serves as a global model for conditional cash transfers. This report analyzes the program’s effectiveness, focusing on its role in advancing multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) through poverty reduction, human capital development, and economic inclusion. The central issue examined is the transition of beneficiaries from program dependency to self-sufficiency, a process referred to as “graduation.”

Long-Term Impact: Human Capital and Intergenerational Progress

The program’s design is fundamentally linked to long-term investments in human capital, which directly addresses the intergenerational cycle of poverty and contributes to several key SDGs.

SDG 4: Quality Education

Bolsa Família mandates school attendance, yielding significant educational improvements. Evidence indicates that children from beneficiary households exhibit:

  • Higher rates of school enrollment.
  • Lower dropout rates.
  • Improved grade promotion statistics.

These outcomes are critical for building the human capital necessary to break the cycle of poverty, aligning directly with the objectives of SDG 4.

SDG 3: Good Health and Well-being

The program’s health conditionalities have produced measurable positive effects on child wellness. Research demonstrates that children under seven in the program are substantially more likely to receive essential preventive care compared to non-beneficiaries. Key health outcomes include:

  • Increased rates of growth monitoring.
  • Higher vaccination coverage.
  • More frequent regular health checkups.

This focus on early childhood health is a direct contribution to achieving SDG 3.

SDG 1 (No Poverty) and SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities)

The cumulative impact of these health and education gains facilitates long-term graduation from poverty. A longitudinal study tracking beneficiaries from 2005 to 2019 found that 64% were no longer receiving federal benefits and 45% had entered formal employment. This demonstrates the program’s success in translating human capital investments into stable income and reducing inequality across generations.

Short-Term Impact: Labor Market Participation and Economic Empowerment

In addition to its long-term focus, Bolsa Família has immediate effects on the economic activity of current beneficiaries, contributing to goals related to decent work and economic growth.

SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

Contrary to concerns about disincentivizing work, extensive research indicates that Bolsa Família does not negatively affect labor supply. Key findings include:

  • Beneficiaries are as likely to be employed as comparable non-beneficiaries.
  • The program’s financial stability helps recipients avoid precarious jobs.
  • Transfers stimulate local economies, with studies showing measurable increases in GDP and employment.

SDG 5: Gender Equality

In certain contexts, the program has been shown to increase women’s participation in the labor force. The cash transfers can help cover costs associated with childcare or job searching, empowering women economically and advancing the goals of SDG 5.

Policy Framework for Sustaining Progress Towards the SDGs

The success of Bolsa Família depends on a supportive policy ecosystem that integrates social protection with economic opportunity. Three key components are essential for ensuring sustainable graduation and continued progress on the SDGs.

  1. Supportive Economic Environment

    Sustainable exits from the program are correlated with strong local economies that generate employment. The program itself contributes to SDG 8 by stimulating local economic activity, creating a virtuous cycle where social protection and inclusive growth are mutually reinforcing.

  2. Complementary Programs for Productive Inclusion

    To transition from income support to sustainable livelihoods, beneficiaries require access to additional services. Linking cash transfers with programs for skills training, microfinance, and entrepreneurship support (such as Brazil’s Acredita program) creates pathways to productive inclusion, directly supporting SDG 1 and SDG 8.

  3. Incentive-Compatible Program Design

    Program rules must encourage economic mobility rather than penalize it. Policies such as the Benefit Protection Rule, which allows families to retain partial benefits for a period after their income rises, and the Guaranteed Return provision reduce the risks associated with entering the formal labor market. This design aligns with SDG 1 and SDG 10 by providing a secure safety net that fosters upward mobility.

Conclusion: A Model for Sustainable Development

Bolsa Família demonstrates a dual-pathway approach to poverty alleviation that is deeply aligned with the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. It addresses immediate needs while systematically investing in the human capital required for long-term self-sufficiency. By integrating social protection with policies that promote health (SDG 3), education (SDG 4), and decent work (SDG 8), the program serves as an effective instrument for reducing poverty (SDG 1) and inequality (SDG 10). International partnerships, such as those with the World Bank, are vital for sharing these lessons globally and advancing SDG 17 (Partnerships for the Goals).

1. Which SDGs are addressed or connected to the issues highlighted in the article?

  • SDG 1: No Poverty

    The article’s central theme is the Bolsa Família program, a cash transfer initiative explicitly designed to “reduce poverty” and provide a safety net for millions of vulnerable Brazilians.

  • SDG 3: Good Health and Well-being

    The program mandates health-related conditions for children. The article states that beneficiaries “receive better preventive care,” including “growth monitoring, to be vaccinated, and to get regular checkups,” directly connecting the program to improved health outcomes for children.

  • SDG 4: Quality Education

    Bolsa Família includes educational conditions. The article highlights that “children in Bolsa Família households attend school more regularly, drop out less,” and achieve “higher enrollment, lower dropout, and better grade promotion,” which are core objectives of quality education.

  • SDG 5: Gender Equality

    The article touches upon the program’s impact on women’s economic empowerment, noting that in some areas, “women’s participation rises as transfers help cover childcare or job-search costs.”

  • SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

    The article discusses the program’s relationship with the labor market, concluding that it “does not discourage work.” It also points to its role in promoting entrepreneurship through complementary programs that expand “credit and entrepreneurship support for small businesses and low-income entrepreneurs” and helping beneficiaries enter “formal employment.”

  • SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities

    By targeting the poorest families, the program is a direct policy tool to reduce economic inequality. It functions as a social protection policy that provides a “basic income” and a “safety net,” aiming to create a more equitable environment for vulnerable populations.

2. What specific targets under those SDGs can be identified based on the article’s content?

  1. SDG 1: No Poverty

    • Target 1.2: By 2030, reduce at least by half the proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions. The article’s focus on how Bolsa Família “reduce[s] poverty” directly aligns with this target.
    • Target 1.3: Implement nationally appropriate social protection systems and measures for all, including floors, and by 2030 achieve substantial coverage of the poor and the vulnerable. The article describes Bolsa Família as a large-scale social protection system, noting that “nearly 50 million Brazilians receiving family benefits today.”
  2. SDG 3: Good Health and Well-being

    • Target 3.8: Achieve universal health coverage, including financial risk protection, access to quality essential health-care services and access to safe, effective, quality and affordable essential medicines and vaccines for all. The program’s health conditions, which lead to children being “three times more likely to have growth monitoring, to be vaccinated, and to get regular checkups,” contribute directly to increasing access to essential health services.
  3. SDG 4: Quality Education

    • Target 4.1: By 2030, ensure that all girls and boys complete free, equitable and quality primary and secondary education. The article provides evidence of “higher enrollment, lower dropout, and better grade promotion” among children from beneficiary households, which are key components of this target.
  4. SDG 5: Gender Equality

    • Target 5.5: Ensure women’s full and effective participation and equal opportunities for leadership at all levels of decision-making in political, economic and public life. The article’s observation that “women’s participation rises” in the labor market due to the program’s support connects to the goal of enhancing women’s economic participation.
  5. SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth

    • Target 8.3: Promote development-oriented policies that support productive activities, decent job creation, entrepreneurship…and encourage the formalization and growth of micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises. The article mentions complementary programs like Acredita, which “expands credit and entrepreneurship support for small businesses and low-income entrepreneurs” and boosts “self-employment.”
    • Target 8.5: By 2030, achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all women and men. The article addresses concerns about work discouragement, finding that effects are “null or very small” and that beneficiaries enter “formal employment at least once” at a rate “significantly higher than the general population of the same age.”
  6. SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities

    • Target 10.4: Adopt policies, especially fiscal, wage and social protection policies, and progressively achieve greater equality. Bolsa Família is presented as a cornerstone social protection policy that provides a “safety net” and helps families “loosen poverty’s grip,” thereby working to reduce overall inequality.

3. Are there any indicators mentioned or implied in the article that can be used to measure progress towards the identified targets?

  1. For SDG 1 (No Poverty):

    • Proportion of population covered by social protection systems: Implied by the statement that “nearly 50 million Brazilians receiving family benefits today.”
    • Poverty rate: Implied by the program’s primary goal to “reduce poverty.”
  2. For SDG 3 (Good Health and Well-being):

    • Vaccination coverage: Directly mentioned as children in the program are more likely “to be vaccinated.”
    • Access to preventive care services: Implied by the mention of increased “growth monitoring” and “regular checkups” for children under seven.
  3. For SDG 4 (Quality Education):

    • School enrollment rates: Directly mentioned as the program leads to “higher enrollment.”
    • School dropout rates: Directly mentioned as the program results in children who “drop out less.”
    • Grade promotion rates: Directly mentioned as an outcome is “better grade promotion.”
  4. For SDG 5 (Gender Equality):

    • Female labor force participation rate: Implied by the finding that in some areas, “women’s participation rises” as a result of the cash transfers.
  5. For SDG 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth):

    • Labor force participation rate: Implied by the extensive discussion on whether the program discourages work, with the conclusion that effects on “labor supply are ‘null or very small’.”
    • Proportion of formal employment: Mentioned in a study finding that “45 percent had entered formal employment at least once.”
    • Access to credit/microfinance for small enterprises: Implied by the description of complementary programs like Acredita, which “expands credit and entrepreneurship support.”
  6. For SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities):

    • Impact of social protection programs on inequality: The entire article serves as a case study for this, analyzing how a cash transfer program provides a “safety net” to reduce the gap between the poor and non-poor.

4. Table of SDGs, Targets, and Indicators

SDGs Targets Indicators (Mentioned or Implied in the Article)
SDG 1: No Poverty 1.3: Implement nationally appropriate social protection systems. Proportion of population covered by social protection systems (e.g., “nearly 50 million Brazilians receiving family benefits”).
SDG 3: Good Health and Well-being 3.8: Achieve universal health coverage, including access to quality essential health-care services. Vaccination coverage rates and access to preventive care (e.g., “more likely to be vaccinated,” “growth monitoring,” “regular checkups”).
SDG 4: Quality Education 4.1: Ensure all children complete free, equitable and quality primary and secondary education. School enrollment, dropout, and grade promotion rates (e.g., “higher enrollment, lower dropout, and better grade promotion”).
SDG 5: Gender Equality 5.5: Ensure women’s full and effective participation…in economic…life. Female labor force participation rate (e.g., “women’s participation rises”).
SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth 8.3: Promote policies that support entrepreneurship and growth of micro- and small-sized enterprises. Access to credit and microfinance (e.g., programs that expand “credit and entrepreneurship support for small businesses”).
8.5: Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all. Labor force participation and proportion of formal employment (e.g., program “does not discourage work,” beneficiaries “entered formal employment”).
SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities 10.4: Adopt policies, especially…social protection policies, and progressively achieve greater equality. Effectiveness of social protection transfers in reducing poverty and inequality (e.g., providing a “safety net” to “loosen poverty’s grip”).

Source: blogs.worldbank.org

 

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