Comprehensive portfolio of adaptation measures to safeguard against evolving flood risks in a changing climate – Nature

Comprehensive portfolio of adaptation measures to safeguard against evolving flood risks in a changing climate – Nature

 

Report on Comprehensive Flood Adaptation Measures for Sustainable Development

Executive Summary

Climate change-induced flooding presents a significant and growing threat to global communities, undermining progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This report provides a critical analysis of flood adaptation measures, compiling a comprehensive portfolio of 39 distinct strategies. These measures are classified into four categories: infrastructural/technological, institutional, behavioral/cultural, and nature-based solutions. Each measure is evaluated based on its advantages, disadvantages, and its potential to generate co-benefits or tradeoffs relevant to the SDGs, particularly those concerning sustainable cities (SDG 11), climate action (SDG 13), and resilient infrastructure (SDG 9). The analysis reveals a historical evolution in adaptation, shifting from a primary focus on structural modifications toward “soft” adaptation measures, including community-centered and nature-based solutions that align with goals for life on land and below water (SDG 15 and SDG 14). To guide effective implementation, this report establishes key decision-making attributes for identifying successful adaptation strategies that are socially just (SDG 10, SDG 16), practically feasible, and technically sound. Finally, it highlights critical research gaps and provides recommendations for a transdisciplinary approach to developing and implementing climate-resilient and equitable flood adaptation strategies essential for achieving the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

1. Introduction: Flooding as a Barrier to Sustainable Development

The intensification of flood drivers due to climate change poses a direct threat to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. With global surface temperatures rising, climate models project an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, exacerbating flood risks worldwide. These risks jeopardize critical progress on several SDGs:

  • SDG 1 (No Poverty) and SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities): Between 2000 and 2019, floods affected approximately 1.6 billion people, with disproportionate impacts on vulnerable and low-income communities. Without proactive adaptation, these losses could escalate, pushing more people into poverty and widening inequality.
  • SDG 3 (Good Health and Well-being) and SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities): Flooding is a leading cause of fatalities and economic disruption, directly threatening the safety and resilience of human settlements. In the U.S. alone, floods have caused hundreds of fatalities and billions in damages, highlighting the urgent need for robust strategies to safeguard lives and communities.
  • SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure): Traditional flood defense infrastructure, such as levees and dams, faces growing pressure from both climatic and non-climatic stressors. Aging infrastructure and fragmented governance further compound vulnerabilities, as exemplified by recent dam failures. Building resilient infrastructure is paramount for sustainable development.
  • SDG 13 (Climate Action): The statistics on current and projected flood-related losses underscore the urgent need for comprehensive adaptation strategies as a core component of global climate action.

Effective flood adaptation must therefore transition from reactive, engineering-focused solutions to integrated, forward-looking strategies that address compound risks and contribute to multiple SDGs simultaneously.

2. The Evolution of Flood Adaptation in the Context of Sustainable Development

The approach to flood adaptation has evolved through four distinct eras, reflecting a growing understanding of the interconnectedness between climate resilience, environmental health, and social equity.

  1. Pre-1950s (Reactive and Localized): Early strategies were localized and reactive, lacking the formalized risk assessment needed to contribute systematically to long-term community resilience (SDG 11).
  2. Mid-20th Century (Infrastructure-Centric Resilience): This era emphasized engineered solutions like dams and levees, aligning with SDG 9 (Infrastructure). However, this approach often overlooked environmental impacts (SDG 14, SDG 15) and social equity (SDG 10), assuming a stationary climate.
  3. Late 20th Century (Socio-Ecological Integration): A growing environmental awareness led to the integration of ecological and social dimensions. This marked a shift toward recognizing the co-benefits of adaptation, such as enhancing biodiversity and recreational spaces, contributing to SDG 11 and SDG 15.
  4. Present (Hybrid and Adaptive Strategies): Current approaches favor hybrid strategies that blend structural, nature-based, institutional, and community-centered measures. These strategies emphasize flexibility, co-benefits, and long-term sustainability, reflecting a holistic approach to achieving the SDGs. This evolution acknowledges climate uncertainty and promotes adaptive planning to build resilience under dynamic conditions (SDG 13).

3. A Comprehensive Portfolio of Flood Adaptation Measures for the SDGs

This report synthesizes 39 flood adaptation measures from a scoping review of 173 studies. The measures are categorized to align with IPCC classifications and are evaluated for their contribution to achieving the SDGs.

3.1 Infrastructural and Technological Measures

These measures involve physical construction and technological systems to protect communities and assets, directly contributing to SDG 9 and SDG 11. However, they can present tradeoffs with environmental and social goals.

  • Heightening of Levees: Increases protection but can increase downstream risk and disrupt landscapes.
  • Notching: Allows controlled flooding to restore floodplains (SDG 15) but offers localized benefits.
  • Underseepage Control: Enhances the safety of dams and levees, protecting communities (SDG 11).
  • River Dredging: Increases channel capacity but can disturb aquatic ecosystems (SDG 14).
  • Intentional Breaches: Manages floodwaters in a controlled manner to protect critical areas.
  • Relocation (Managed Retreat): A long-term solution that removes risk but has significant social and economic implications (SDG 10).
  • Multifunctional Seawalls: Integrates ecological habitats (SDG 14) with coastal protection.
  • Dam Rehabilitation: Crucial for maintaining safety and function in the face of aging infrastructure and climate change (SDG 9).
  • Construction of Weirs: Regulates water flow but can alter river habitats (SDG 15).
  • Construction of Flood Walls: Provides robust protection in urban areas with limited space.
  • Building-Level Protection: Empowers individual property owners to increase their resilience.
  • Channels and Floodways: Diverts excess water but requires significant land and investment.
  • Drainage and Pump Systems: Essential for managing urban stormwater but can be energy-intensive.
  • Detention Basins: Temporarily stores floodwater, reducing peak flows and supporting ecosystem quality (SDG 6, SDG 15).
  • Landside Stability Berms: Reinforces levees and can incorporate recreational and habitat benefits.
  • Closure Structures: Provides on-demand flood protection for openings in defense systems.
  • Revetments: Protects riverbanks from erosion but can harden shorelines.
  • Gabion Walls: A flexible, permeable solution for erosion control that can support vegetation.

3.2 Institutional Measures

These measures focus on governance, policy, and planning to create an enabling environment for resilience, underpinning SDG 16 (Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions).

  • Flood Monitoring and Warning Systems: Provides critical information for early action, saving lives and reducing economic losses (SDG 3, SDG 11).
  • Inspections and Maintenance: Ensures the long-term effectiveness of infrastructure (SDG 9).
  • Effective Groundwater Management: Protects against both floods and droughts, securing water resources (SDG 6).
  • Policy and Institutional Strengthening: Builds adaptive capacity and ensures coordinated action across sectors (SDG 17).
  • Funding for Mitigation and Recovery: Essential for implementing adaptation projects, with a need for equitable distribution to support vulnerable communities (SDG 10).
  • Proactive Emergency Action Planning: Enhances community preparedness and response effectiveness.
  • Multi-Layer Safety: Implements redundant systems to increase overall resilience.
  • Real-Time Control of Reservoirs: Uses technology to optimize water management for flood control and other benefits.
  • Managing Residual Risk: Addresses the risk that remains even with flood defenses in place, promoting transparency and preparedness.

3.3 Behavioral and Cultural Measures

These measures involve changes in individual and community practices to reduce vulnerability and build adaptive capacity from the ground up.

  • Community Education and Awareness: Empowers communities with the knowledge to participate in risk reduction, fostering a culture of resilience (SDG 11, SDG 13).
  • Diversification of Crops and Livestock: Enhances food security (SDG 2) and economic resilience for agricultural communities facing flood risks.

3.4 Nature-Based Measures

These strategies use natural systems and processes to mitigate flood risk while delivering significant co-benefits for biodiversity, climate mitigation, and human well-being, contributing to SDG 13, SDG 14, and SDG 15.

  • Set-back Levees: Reconnects rivers with their floodplains, creating natural water storage and restoring habitats.
  • Permeable Pavements: Reduces urban runoff and recharges groundwater, mimicking natural hydrology (SDG 6, SDG 11).
  • Green Roofs and Walls: Manages stormwater in dense urban areas while providing insulation and improving air quality.
  • Wetland Restoration and Creation: Acts as a natural buffer against floods, stores carbon, and enhances biodiversity.
  • Riparian Buffers: Stabilizes riverbanks, filters pollutants, and provides habitat corridors.
  • Beach and Shoreface Nourishment: Counteracts coastal erosion and protects coastal communities (SDG 11).
  • Living Shorelines: Uses natural materials like plants and reefs to stabilize coastlines and provide habitat.
  • Vegetation on Levee Slopes: A cost-effective method to reduce erosion and improve levee stability.
  • Forest Fire Prevention: Mitigates the increased flood and landslide risk that follows wildfires by preserving soil stability and vegetation cover.
  • Bio-inspired Soil Improvements: Uses natural processes to strengthen soils in flood infrastructure, offering a sustainable alternative to chemical methods.

4. Decision-Making for Successful and Sustainable Adaptation

Identifying the optimal adaptation strategy requires a multi-attribute decision-making process. To ensure alignment with the SDGs, any successful flood adaptation measure must be:

  1. Socially Just: Adaptation must address systemic inequities by promoting inclusive, transparent, and equitable resource allocation. This requires meaningful community engagement to ensure that the needs of socially vulnerable groups are prioritized, directly supporting SDG 10 and SDG 16.
  2. Practically Feasible: Strategies must be implementable within existing economic, regulatory, and institutional constraints. This includes considering costs, resource availability, and societal acceptance.
  3. Technically Sound: Measures must be based on reliable engineering and scientific principles, ensuring they are resilient and effective under current and future climate conditions. This aligns with the call for resilient infrastructure in SDG 9.

5. Research Gaps and Opportunities for Achieving the SDGs

Advancing flood adaptation to support the SDGs requires addressing several key research gaps:

  • Integrating Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches: Future research must develop frameworks that combine quantitative risk models with qualitative community insights and indigenous knowledge to create more holistic and equitable adaptation plans.
  • Bridging Policy Fragmentation: There is a need for research on governance models that foster inter-agency collaboration and policy coherence to support integrated flood risk management, advancing SDG 16 and SDG 17.
  • Clarifying Evolving Risk Thresholds: More research is needed to define what constitutes “acceptable” risk and how these thresholds change over time, which is critical for dynamic adaptive planning.
  • Leveraging Emerging Technologies: Opportunities exist to explore how AI, Big Data, and Earth observations can enhance flood forecasting and optimize adaptation pathways in real-time.
  • Incorporating Vulnerability Attributes: A critical gap remains in understanding how socioeconomic vulnerabilities influence adaptive capacity. Research should focus on developing strategies that explicitly reduce risk disparities and promote distributive justice (SDG 10).

6. Conclusion

Effectively managing the growing risks of climate-induced flooding is fundamental to achieving the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This report has synthesized a comprehensive portfolio of 39 adaptation measures, demonstrating a clear evolution toward integrated strategies that balance infrastructural protection with institutional, behavioral, and nature-based solutions. The optimal path forward requires a transdisciplinary approach that tailors solutions to local contexts, ensuring they are socially just, practically feasible, and technically sound. By addressing the identified research gaps and fostering collaboration across sectors, decision-makers can develop and implement adaptation strategies that not only protect communities from flooding but also deliver co-benefits for environmental health, social equity, and long-term sustainable development.

Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Analysis

1. Which SDGs are addressed or connected to the issues highlighted in the article?

  • SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities

    The article is fundamentally about protecting communities from the growing risks of flooding. It discusses building resilient infrastructure, safeguarding lives, and implementing adaptation strategies to make human settlements safer and more sustainable in the face of climate-related disasters.

  • SDG 13: Climate Action

    This is the central theme of the article. It directly addresses the urgent need for “robust and comprehensive adaptation strategies” to cope with the impacts of climate change, specifically flooding exacerbated by rising global temperatures, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events.

  • SDG 9: Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure

    The article extensively details the need to build and upgrade resilient infrastructure. It presents a portfolio of 18 “Infrastructural/Technological measures,” such as levees, dams, seawalls, and drainage systems, emphasizing the importance of making them technically sound and capable of withstanding climatic stressors.

  • SDG 15: Life on Land

    The article highlights “Nature-Based” solutions as a key category of adaptation. Measures like wetland restoration, the establishment of riparian buffers, and forest fire prevention are discussed as ways to leverage natural ecosystems to mitigate flood risk and enhance ecological health.

  • SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities

    The article explicitly addresses the need for social justice in flood adaptation. It notes that “socially vulnerable groups are often overrepresented in… levee-protected areas” and argues that successful adaptation strategies must be “socially just” by promoting inclusivity, equitable resource allocation, and participatory decision-making to protect vulnerable populations.

  • SDG 6: Clean Water and Sanitation

    The article connects to this goal through its discussion of water management infrastructure like dams and reservoirs, which are crucial for flood control. It also touches upon “Effective groundwater management” as an institutional adaptation measure to protect freshwater supplies from flood-related contamination and manage water levels.

2. What specific targets under those SDGs can be identified based on the article’s content?

  1. SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities
    • Target 11.5: “By 2030, significantly reduce the number of deaths and the number of people affected and substantially decrease the direct economic losses… caused by disasters, including water-related disasters, with a focus on protecting the poor and people in vulnerable situations.” The article directly supports this by quantifying the impacts of floods (e.g., “affecting ~1.6 billion people” with losses of “$651 billion”) and advocating for strategies to safeguard lives and infrastructure, with a focus on social justice.
    • Target 11.b: “By 2020, substantially increase the number of cities and human settlements adopting and implementing integrated policies and plans towards… adaptation to climate change, resilience to disasters…” The article’s core purpose is to provide a “comprehensive portfolio of 39 adaptation measures” to guide policymakers in developing and implementing such integrated plans for flood resilience.
  2. SDG 13: Climate Action
    • Target 13.1: “Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries.” The entire article is dedicated to this target, analyzing a wide range of adaptation measures—from structural to nature-based—designed to enhance the capacity of communities and infrastructure to withstand and recover from flood events.
    • Target 13.3: “Improve education, awareness-raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change… adaptation, impact reduction and early warning.” The article identifies “Community education and awareness programs” and “Flood monitoring and warning systems” as specific and essential adaptation measures.
  3. SDG 9: Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
    • Target 9.1: “Develop quality, reliable, sustainable and resilient infrastructure… to support economic development and human well-being…” The article’s detailed analysis of “Infrastructural/Technological measures” like dam rehabilitation, multifunctional seawalls, and levee improvements directly addresses the need for resilient infrastructure to protect against climate-related hazards.
  4. SDG 15: Life on Land
    • Target 15.1: “By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainable use of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services…” The promotion of nature-based solutions such as “Wetland restoration and creation” and the establishment of “riparian buffers” aligns directly with this target by using ecosystem restoration to provide flood mitigation services.
  5. SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities
    • Target 10.2: “By 2030, empower and promote the social, economic and political inclusion of all…” The article’s argument that adaptation measures must be “socially just” and involve “community engagement and participatory decision-making” directly relates to ensuring that vulnerable and marginalized groups are included in and benefit from climate adaptation planning.

3. Are there any indicators mentioned or implied in the article that can be used to measure progress towards the identified targets?

  1. For Targets 11.5 and 13.1:
    • Indicator 11.5.1 / 13.1.1 (Number of deaths and directly affected persons attributed to disasters): The article explicitly mentions statistics that align with this indicator, such as “global flood-related losses totaled $651 billion (USD), affecting ~1.6 billion people” between 2000 and 2019, and “738 fatalities” in the U.S. over four decades. These figures serve as a baseline for measuring reduction.
    • Indicator 11.5.2 (Direct economic loss from disasters): The article provides clear quantitative data for this indicator, stating that global flood losses were “$651 billion” and U.S. losses were “nearly $200 billion.” It also projects that these losses could “increase twentyfold by the end of the century” without adaptation, making economic loss a key metric for measuring the success of adaptation measures.
  2. For Target 13.1:
    • Indicator 13.1.2 (Number of countries and local governments that have adopted and implemented local disaster risk reduction strategies): The article implies this indicator by compiling a “comprehensive portfolio of 39 flood adaptation measures.” The adoption and implementation of these strategies (e.g., infrastructural, institutional, nature-based) by governments and communities can be directly measured to track progress.
  3. For Target 13.3:
    • Indicator 13.3.1 (Extent to which education for sustainable development is mainstreamed): The article’s inclusion of “Community education and awareness programs” and “Flood monitoring and warning systems” as formal adaptation measures implies that the number, scope, and effectiveness of these programs are measurable indicators of a community’s adaptive capacity.
  4. For Target 9.1:
    • Implied Indicator (Extent of resilient infrastructure development): While not a formal UN indicator, the article’s detailed list of 18 infrastructural measures (e.g., heightening levees, dam rehabilitation, construction of flood walls) implies that progress can be measured by the number of infrastructure projects undertaken, their performance during flood events, and their integration of climate-resilient design standards.

4. Table of SDGs, Targets, and Indicators

SDGs Targets Indicators Identified in the Article
SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities 11.5: Reduce deaths, affected people, and economic losses from disasters, focusing on protecting the vulnerable.
  • Number of people affected by floods (mentions ~1.6 billion globally).
  • Number of fatalities from floods (mentions 738 in the U.S.).
  • Direct economic losses from floods (mentions $651 billion globally and $200 billion in the U.S.).
SDG 13: Climate Action 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards.

13.3: Improve education, awareness-raising, and institutional capacity on climate change adaptation and early warning.

  • Adoption and implementation of disaster risk reduction strategies (the article’s portfolio of 39 adaptation measures).
  • Implementation of flood monitoring and early warning systems.
  • Establishment of community education and awareness programs.
SDG 9: Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure 9.1: Develop quality, reliable, sustainable and resilient infrastructure.
  • Implementation of resilient infrastructure projects (e.g., heightened levees, rehabilitated dams, multifunctional seawalls).
  • Performance of flood protection infrastructure under climatic and non-climatic stressors.
SDG 15: Life on Land 15.1: Ensure the conservation and restoration of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems.
  • Implementation of nature-based solutions like wetland restoration and creation.
  • Establishment and expansion of riparian buffers along waterways.
SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities 10.2: Empower and promote the social, economic and political inclusion of all.
  • Extent of community engagement and participatory decision-making in adaptation planning.
  • Degree to which adaptation measures address and reduce risk disparities for socially vulnerable groups.

Source: nature.com